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Economic Growth Forecast for 2012

October 20th, 2011

The California Association of Realtor recently announced this forecast as of 10/20/2011:

Economic growth is expected to be no greater than 2 percent through the end of 2012 – a growth rate that makes the economy very vulnerable to any external shock that could trigger a downturn, according to Fannie Mae’s Economics & Mortgage Market Analysis Group.

External factors, coupled with uncertainty surrounding the degree of domestic fiscal austerity, including the scheduled expiration of various tax cuts and unemployment benefits, and the impact of forthcoming regulations, will determine how fast the economy will grow.

“There’s been a little seasonal cyclical pickup in housing activity recently, as spring and summer sales are generally stronger than fall and winter, but leading indicators point to housing sales bouncing near the bottom at least through the end of 2012,” said Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan.

“Home prices are a key factor for any positive movement in the housing market, and the large inventory of distressed homes working their way through the market is putting downward pressure on prices. Now that we are entering a traditionally weak seasonal sales period, we expect home prices to show renewed declines after firming for several months,” Duncan stated.

For more information, click here.

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Tips for Sellers During the Holiday Season

December 2nd, 2010

It’s hard selling a house in today’s market unless you’re competively priced and even so, days on market has increased so it’s important to keep your expectations in check. Over the holidays, it’s even harder to sell a house due to the decrease of buyers looking to buy and move during the cold winter months. However, the good news is that the ones out there are motivated to buy!

 Here are five tips to help sell your house:
1.  Consider waiting until the holidays are over. During the holidays, the pool of qualified and active buyers shrinks – dramatically.  The cold, wet weather in some areas makes buyers hesitant to come out and view properties, and holiday travels cause others to put their house hunts on hold. Buyers also know that many sellers take their homes off the market during this period, so the forecast for receiving lowball offers is: highly likely. Taking your home off the market during the holidays and relisting it after New Year’s holds the potential of exposing your home to a fresh set of buyers motivated by a fresh set of resolutions. Plus, many sellers simply don’t want to deal with buyers’ muddy feet and scheduling intrusion while they are at home on vacation or hosting holiday dinners or guests. (Note: Most of these issues are slightly less impactful in warm-weather climates.]

With that said, there are some advantages to having your home on the market at this time of year, too. Although there will be a larger pool of buyers out and active after the first of the year, the ones who are out in the wet and the cold right now tend to be really motivated to buy.  Holiday house hunters usually fall into two camps: they either plain old need a place to live, fast, or they need to close escrow on their new home by year’s end for tax reasons. Given that post-tax credit buyers have been characterized by an almost stunning lack of urgency, keeping your home on the market over the holidays is one way to try to capitalize on the urgency this season’s motivated buyers face, due to their circumstances.

2.  Ditch the holiday decor or make it meticulous.  No Charlie Brown trees, people. Staging your home at its festive holiday best can truly backfire if your seasonal staging comes off as amateurish or overdone. if your living room is already small and your marble mantel is the main selling point, crowding the room with a massive arboreal masterpiece (i.e., big tree), piles of gifts, life-sized reindeer-and-sleigh set and covering the entire mantle with faux snow and stockings will do more harm to a prospective buyer’s first impressions than good.  

If you DO decide to decorate, rethink it as staging with some holiday cheer; this will help you follow the staging mandates of depersonalizing and decluttering your place. If you have a dining room, stage it for a holiday dinner – many a buyer has bought a whole house around their holiday dinner fantasies.

But keep your holiday decor somewhat secular and ethnically neutral, if possible. Trees, garlands, lights and bulbs are great. You might not want your cherished family heirlooms exposed to the public, in the first place. And you definitely don’t want to let your ethnic or religious stuff interfere with the buyers’ ability to envision their own holidays in your home.

3.  Set a few, clear “no show” dates and times. There is no faster way to lose a potential buyer than to make it difficult for their broker or agent to schedule a showing for your home. Sellers seem to forget that most often, buyer’s brokers are scheduling multiple properties to be shown in a couple of hours’-long-showing – if the other 3 dozen homes for sale in your neighborhood are vacant or very easy to show, and yours has a bunch of random black out times or dates that the agent can’t figure out without making multiple calls to your agent, who then has to call you and call the other agent back.  Imagine how tiring it is for buyer’s brokers to do that on 5 or 6 properites per showing. This is an easy way to tip buyers toward a competing property. 

By the same token, it’s understandable that you may need to blackout showings on particular hoildays or times when you’re hosting guests. So, rather than going through the drama and frustration of back-and-forth scheduling arrangements around your vacations and obligations, give your listing agent a couple of clear guidelines around holiday season showings (e.g., no showings on12/24, 12/25, 12/31 or 1/1) and ask your agent to include these dates in the confidential remarks for buyer’s agents on MLS.  The keyword here is “a couple” – keep these “no show” slots to an absolute minimum.  If there are multiple, whole weeks or lots of half-day time slots during which you don’t want your home shown, consider taking it off the market and relisting it in the New Year, rather than running the risk of getting bumped to the bottom of buyers’ brokers’ “show” lists.

4.  Expect some inconvenience and irritation. Selling during the holidays can be rewarding, but smart sellers approach it knowing it won’t always be fun. Go in with realistic expectations. Some buyer is highly likely to track rain, mud or snow into your house, at some point. If you’re home for a long staycation, chances are good that someone will interrupt your Zen for a showing. It’s even possible that some buyer will leave your front door open longer than you’d like, letting your expensively heated air seep into the great outdoors (on your dime). These things will happen, but the upside is that an uber-motivated buyer-to-be may also come see your place. Avoid the emotional rollercoaster and irritation by expecting these issues and chalking them up as par for the course. It might not hurt to flex your holiday shopping muscles to invest in a $50-ish hand-held carpet cleaner, either! 

5.  Engage in safe, sensory staging.  Holiday food smells ike spiced cider, pumpkin pie and baked appley/cinnamoney things are about as universally comforting as smells get. It certainly wouldn’t hurt to do some sensory staging to create a sense of comfort and cheer.  Also, remember that dreary winter weather can make even the loveliest house and showing take on a gray cast; counteract this by making sure your home is well-lighted and -heated.  One thing, though – if your holiday home is a candle-lit home, make sure you leave no candles burning if you clear your family out for showings.

Source:  Tara Nicholle-Nelson on Trulia on November 30, 2010

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Interested in Receiving Marin Real Estate Updates?

August 30th, 2010

Frank Howard Allen Market Update Reports
Delivered to your in-box weekly

Wondering what’s really happening in the market? Then I invite you to sign up for our free Market Update reports. These reports, sent to you via email, contain extensive information regarding properties in your area that are currently for sale or have recently sold. The data is easy to read and is based on current, detailed information from the regional Multiple Listing Service.

For Buyers:
Searching for a new home can be an overwhelming task. With our Market Update reports you’ll receive a comprehensive overview of what’s available in your desired areas and will be able to compare properties and prices in one place. For up-to-the-minute alerts about new homes that come on the market that fit your criteria, you can sign up for our free Home Alerts. Just go to fhallen.com or ask me how.
For Sellers:
Your home is most likely one of your greatest financial assets. Our Frank Howard Allen Market Update reports will help you evaluate and track home values in your neighborhood. If you’re considering selling, the report will providevital information regarding pricing and market activity. If you are interested in a more detailed report which would take into account the particulars of your specific property, please contact me directly and I will provide a comprehensive Comparative Market Analysis (CMA).

For questions about Marin Real Estate or to receive our free Market Update reports, please contact me.

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Three Reasons to Buy a Home Now

August 20th, 2010

Stocks are up 50 percent from the March 2009 bottom. Some commodities have risen dramatically. The only asset class left in the cellar is real estate, says Michael Murphy, editor of the New World Investor stock newsletter.

As a result, Murphy is advising investors to buy now for these three reasons:

Desperate sellers: Both home owners and lenders are eager to unload a flood of foreclosed and underwater properties. Buyers with the patience to push through these complex deals can save a bundle.

Little competition. Because most people don’t have what it takes to negotiate their way through short sales and REOs, patient investors are winners.

Low rates. Mortgage rates are at their lowest level in 40 years. If you believe inflation is inevitable, lock in now.

Source: MarketWatch, Michael Murphy (08/19/2010)

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Frank Howard Allen Celebrates its 100th Anniversary!

August 17th, 2010

 When asked why I joined Frank Howard Allen, the answer is easy. Frank Howard Allen is a 100 year-old family-owned company based in Marin; it is the only real estate company with its roots in Marin with that much longevity. As we celebrate our 100th year anniversary this year, we’re celebrating our history and many great accomplishments as featured in the article in the Marin IJ. Frank Howard Allen’s success is due largely to its focus on customer service resulting in continual growth through referrals from satisfied customers.  That is the type of business I am striving to build: one built on excellent client service and referrals. I am proud to be with a company that continually has the real estate market share in Marin. When listing a home, it helps to have over 600 company-wide agents with whom to network.   If you have any friends or family who need real estate assistance in Marin, please send them my way. I would greatly appreciate your referral!

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