Third Quarter Review of the Marin Real Estate Landscape
Real estate activity is very fluid. In only a few months’ time, a town can change from being a “buyer’s market” to a “seller’s market.” It depends on supply and demand and price point. Interestingly, the third quarter mirrors the first quarter, not the second quarter. There are six towns that are considered a “neutral” market (a balance of supply and demand) and five town that are considered a buyer’s market (more homes for sale than buyers, a benefit to buyers). The other two towns in Marin are considered a “seller’s market” (more buyers than homes on the market, a benefit to sellers.)
By price point, not much has changed since the beginning of this year. The low end of the market place remains in a seller’s or neutral market, and the high end of the market ($1.5 million and above) remains in a buyer’s market.
Below are two charts that provide an overview of the market conditions for the past three months. For example, the market is in the buyers’ favor if they are looking in the $1.5 – $2 million dollar range. However, if they’re looking in Greenbrae, they’re looking in a seller’s market since demand is very high there right now. It is also interesting to note that typically the more days on market, the lower the selling price. The towns that are in a seller’s market have a much closer listing price and selling price.
Opportunities abound in real estate right now (low prices, low interest rates) but a variety of factors come into play when you’re deciding where to buy or when to sell. I strongly recommend that a seller or a buyer carefully review the sales of homes by price point and town in order to negotiate the best price possible given the market conditions.
| Town Stats | Type of Market | Status of 2nd Qtr | ||
| Belvedere | Buyer | same | ||
| Corte Madera | Neutral | same | ||
| Fairfax | Neutral | same | ||
| Greenbrae | Seller | Neutral | ||
| Kentfield | Buyer | Neutral | ||
| Larkspur | Neutral | same | ||
| Mill Valley | Neutral | same | ||
| Novato | Seller | Neutral | ||
| Ross | Buyer | same | ||
| San Anselmo | Neutral | same | ||
| San Rafael | Neutral | same | ||
| Sausalito | Buyer | same | ||
| Tiburon | Buyer | same | ||
| Source: BAREIS as of 9/30/2011 | ||||
| Seller’s Market – 40% or more of homes are in contract | ||||
| Buyer’s Market – Less than 25% of homes are in contract | ||||
| Neutral Market – 25 – 40% of the homes are in contract | ||||
| Price Point | Type of Market | Status of 2nd Qtr | ||
| 0-$500,000 | Seller | same | ||
| $500k-$900k | Neutral | same | ||
| $900k – $1m | Neutral | Buyer | ||
| $1.5m – $2m | Buyer | same | ||
| $2m – $3m | Buyer | same | ||
| $3m – $4m | Buyer | same | ||
| $4m + | Buyer | same | ||
| Source: BAREIS as of 9/30/2011 | ||||










